Sheet · 2026-04-08 · Swing · Core

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AXON

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 52% of scenarios · Trend-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$454 $426 $373 $319 $301 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $384 gap ↓ $362 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in AXON article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · All timeframes agree · Low conviction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.
AXON is trading 41.4% below its long-term average — deeply compressed to the downside. This extreme sometimes precedes sharp bounce-backs, but can also accelerate if broad selling continues. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 25) signals oversold conditions — the stock is stretched to the downside and a stabilisation or bounce is the higher-probability next move.
The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-1.7%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been lagging (-3.0% over 21 days) — a mild headwind for long entries in this group. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 32% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, AXON's industry is lagging over 21 days (-7.7%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 38.3% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly downward (-12.2%) — a real headwind for longs that the model factors into its confidence.
AXON moves fast — it typically swings ≈5.4% per day. A sensible stop placed at twice that range means accepting ~10.8% initial risk per share; size accordingly to keep total portfolio risk within your comfort zone. Key risks to monitor: momentum deeply oversold for a short entry. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.
TSLA

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 51% of scenarios · Trend-tier Entries Expected.

$407 $386 $347 $307 $294 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $357 gap ↓ $336 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in TSLA article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bullish · Broad alignment · Wait for open · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.
The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time horizons are divided — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, only 3 of 4 lean bullish. Some are pulling in opposite directions. Let the open settle before committing; wait 10–15 minutes for the dominant side to reveal itself. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bullish.
TSLA is trading 12.7% below its long-term average — deeply compressed to the downside. This extreme sometimes precedes sharp bounce-backs, but can also accelerate if broad selling continues. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 35) signals oversold conditions — the stock is stretched to the downside and a stabilisation or bounce is the higher-probability next move.
The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-1.7%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been lagging (-5.6% over 21 days) — a mild headwind for long entries in this group. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 14% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, TSLA's industry is lagging over 21 days (-5.6%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 10.5% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly downward (-6.7%) — a real headwind for longs that the model factors into its confidence.
TSLA moves fast — it typically swings ≈4.3% per day. A sensible stop placed at twice that range means accepting ~8.6% initial risk per share; size accordingly to keep total portfolio risk within your comfort zone. Key risks to monitor: weak sector backdrop against a long setup; price well below long-term average — buying goes against the bigger trend. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.
UNH

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 56% of scenarios · Prime-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$338 $327 $308 $288 $282 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $317 gap ↓ $298 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in UNH article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · Broad alignment · Wait for open · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.
The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time-horizon signals are split — 1 bullish vs 3 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bearish, 60-min bearish, 4-hour bearish.
UNH is trading near its long-term average (-0.2%) — a decision zone. Holding above is positive for longs; dropping below shifts the bigger-picture outlook for most investors. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 68) is getting hot — strong momentum but approaching levels where the rally may pause. Tight stops are important for longs here.
The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-1.7%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been lagging (-3.6% over 21 days) — a mild headwind for long entries in this group. Within its sector, UNH's industry is lagging over 21 days (-3.6%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 16.8% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+13.7%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.4% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.