Sheet · 2026-07-16 · Swing · Core

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.

Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon signals are split — 1 bullish vs 3 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bullish.

MRK is 14.7% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 52) is neutral — price isn't stretched, so let the opening action set the tone and trade in the direction it establishes.

The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+2.0%) — a mild tailwind. The sector has been outperforming (+3.4% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 19% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, MRK's industry is leading over 21 days (+11.2%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 5.4% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted modestly downward (-3.8%) — mild medium-term headwind.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.5% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops; majority of timeframes bearish — fighting the trend. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.

Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon signals are split — 2 bullish vs 2 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.

GOOGL is 15.8% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 57) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.

The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+2.0%) — a mild tailwind. The sector is roughly flat month-to-date (+1.8%) — neutral backdrop. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 7% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, GOOGL's industry is leading over 21 days (+2.1%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is thin — only 0.6% before a trend-reversal level. A tight, disciplined stop is essential here. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted modestly upward (+3.9%) — mild medium-term tailwind.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.6% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops; safety cushion nearly exhausted — stops will be very tight. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.

Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon signals are split — 2 bullish vs 2 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bullish, 60-min bullish, 4-hour bullish.

NVDA is 10.7% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 57) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.

The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+2.0%) — a mild tailwind. The sector has been lagging (-1.6% over 21 days) — a mild headwind for long entries in this group. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 43% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, NVDA's industry is lagging over 21 days (-4.7%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 10.7% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+6.3%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈3.5% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.

The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.

JPM is 13.2% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 68) is getting hot — strong momentum but approaching levels where the rally may pause. Tight stops are important for longs here.

The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+2.0%) — a mild tailwind. The sector is a clear tailwind — up 6.4% over the last month and +2.9% over the last week. Big-money players are rotating into this group, which amplifies the odds for individual stocks in the sector to break higher. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 9% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, JPM's industry is leading over 21 days (+4.4%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence is neutral — lean on the other signals above to guide your entry; let the open break the tie. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 6.1% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+6.5%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.

Daily price swings are small (≈1.9% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.

A trend is starting to form — directional conditions are developing. Wait for a clean open above or below the prior day's key level as your entry trigger. Time horizons are divided — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, only 3 of 4 lean bullish. Some are pulling in opposite directions. Let the open settle before committing; wait 10–15 minutes for the dominant side to reveal itself. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bullish.

CVX is 6.3% above its long-term average — well-positioned. Price has a healthy cushion above the key long-term anchor without being stretched. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 57) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.

The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+2.0%) — a mild tailwind. The sector has been lagging (-1.2% over 21 days) — a mild headwind for long entries in this group. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 32% — long-term strength behind this group.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 9.0% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+9.5%) — the medium-term current is running with longs. The model's price-range projections (63% / 13%) are relatively low — reduce position size and tighten your stop; when confidence is modest, smaller bets and quicker exits protect capital.

Daily price swings are small (≈1.9% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range.