Sheet · 2026-08-28 · Swing · Core

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CVX

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 60% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected.

$215 $210 $200 $190 $187 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $206 gap ↓ $194 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in CVX article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bullish · Broad alignment · Low conviction · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time horizons are divided — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, only 3 of 4 lean bullish. Some are pulling in opposite directions. Let the open settle before committing; wait 10–15 minutes for the dominant side to reveal itself. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bullish.
CVX is 13.3% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 59) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.
The broader market is in a strong uptrend over the past month (+5.7%) — rising-tide conditions that create fewer obstacles for long setups. The sector has been outperforming (+6.2% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 46% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, CVX's industry is leading over 21 days (+6.2%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is moderate at 4.5% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+21.6%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are small (≈1.8% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend, sector tailwind. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.
JPM

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 60% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected.

$376 $369 $354 $340 $335 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $365 gap ↓ $344 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in JPM article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bullish · All timeframes agree · Low conviction.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.
JPM is 12.5% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 51) is neutral — price isn't stretched, so let the opening action set the tone and trade in the direction it establishes.
The broader market is in a strong uptrend over the past month (+5.7%) — rising-tide conditions that create fewer obstacles for long setups. The sector has been outperforming (+2.1% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 10% — long-term strength behind this group.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is moderate at 3.4% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+8.7%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are small (≈1.5% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.
MRK

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 60% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$164 $159 $150 $140 $137 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $154 gap ↓ $145 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in MRK article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · Broad alignment · Low conviction · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
The trend is extremely strong — this is a high-velocity directional move. Respect the momentum; betting against this trend has poor odds. Time-horizon signals are split — 1 bullish vs 3 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.
MRK is trading 29.4% above its long-term average price (200-day) — well above its normal range. Long entries here carry elevated snap-back risk if the broad market softens. Shorts note the stretch is wide. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 65) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.
The broader market is in a strong uptrend over the past month (+5.7%) — rising-tide conditions that create fewer obstacles for long setups. The sector has been outperforming (+3.2% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 27% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, MRK's industry is leading over 21 days (+5.6%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is neutral — lean on the other signals above to guide your entry; let the open break the tie. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 15.5% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+16.5%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.3% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.
TSLA

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 56% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$404 $387 $355 $322 $311 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $365 gap ↓ $344 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in TSLA article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · Broad alignment · Low conviction · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time horizons are divided — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, only 3 of 4 lean bullish. Some are pulling in opposite directions. Let the open settle before committing; wait 10–15 minutes for the dominant side to reveal itself. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bearish, 60-min bullish, 4-hour bullish.
TSLA is trading 11.6% below its long-term average — deeply compressed to the downside. This extreme sometimes precedes sharp bounce-backs, but can also accelerate if broad selling continues. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 54) is neutral — price isn't stretched, so let the opening action set the tone and trade in the direction it establishes.
The broader market is in a strong uptrend over the past month (+5.7%) — rising-tide conditions that create fewer obstacles for long setups. The sector has been outperforming (+3.8% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. Within its sector, TSLA's industry is leading over 21 days (+3.8%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 16.1% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly downward (-15.6%) — a real headwind for longs that the model factors into its confidence.
Daily price swings are moderate (≈3.4% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.
NVDA

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 57% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected.

$252 $244 $228 $212 $207 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $235 gap ↓ $221 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in NVDA article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bullish · Broad alignment · Wait for open · Near reversal level — tight stop.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.
Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time horizons are divided — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, only 3 of 4 lean bullish. Some are pulling in opposite directions. Let the open settle before committing; wait 10–15 minutes for the dominant side to reveal itself. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bullish.
NVDA is 16.7% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 61) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.
The broader market is in a strong uptrend over the past month (+5.7%) — rising-tide conditions that create fewer obstacles for long setups. The sector is a clear tailwind — up 13.3% over the last month and +3.0% over the last week. Big-money players are rotating into this group, which amplifies the odds for individual stocks in the sector to break higher. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 44% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, NVDA's industry is leading over 21 days (+13.7%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The trend has already reversed (-0.1%) — price has broken through the key level. For long setups, treat this as a warning. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+14.1%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.6% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops; safety cushion nearly exhausted — stops will be very tight. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.