Sheet · 2026-09-02 · Swing · Core

X Reddit
CVX

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 55% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$226 $221 $211 $201 $198 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $217 gap ↓ $205 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in CVX article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · Broad alignment · Low conviction · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time horizons are divided — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, only 3 of 4 lean bullish. Some are pulling in opposite directions. Let the open settle before committing; wait 10–15 minutes for the dominant side to reveal itself. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bullish.
CVX is 19.0% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 72) is getting hot — strong momentum but approaching levels where the rally may pause. Tight stops are important for longs here.
The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+0.5%) — a mild tailwind. The sector is a clear tailwind — up 10.2% over the last month and +4.4% over the last week. Big-money players are rotating into this group, which amplifies the odds for individual stocks in the sector to break higher. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 48% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, CVX's industry is leading over 21 days (+10.2%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is neutral — lean on the other signals above to guide your entry; let the open break the tie. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 6.2% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+28.4%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are small (≈1.7% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.
JPM

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 59% of scenarios · Prime-tier Entries Expected.

$376 $369 $355 $341 $336 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $366 gap ↓ $344 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in JPM article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bullish · All timeframes agree · Low conviction.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.
JPM is 12.5% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 51) is neutral — price isn't stretched, so let the opening action set the tone and trade in the direction it establishes.
The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+0.5%) — a mild tailwind. The sector is roughly flat month-to-date (-0.3%) — neutral backdrop. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 8% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, JPM's industry is lagging over 21 days (-5.1%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is moderate at 3.2% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+8.9%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are small (≈1.5% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.
NVDA

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 56% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$245 $235 $218 $200 $194 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $224 gap ↓ $211 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in NVDA article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · Broad alignment · Low conviction · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon signals are split — 1 bullish vs 3 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bullish, 60-min bearish, 4-hour bearish.
NVDA is 11.0% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 52) is neutral — price isn't stretched, so let the opening action set the tone and trade in the direction it establishes.
The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+0.5%) — a mild tailwind. The sector has been outperforming (+3.1% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 41% — long-term strength behind this group.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is moderate at 4.6% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+8.8%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are moderate (≈3.1% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.
UNH

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 56% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected.

$431 $419 $396 $373 $366 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $408 gap ↓ $384 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in UNH article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bullish · Mixed timeframes · Wait for open · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.
A trend is starting to form — directional conditions are developing. Wait for a clean open above or below the prior day's key level as your entry trigger. Time-horizon signals are split — 2 bullish vs 2 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bullish.
UNH is 13.9% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 46) is neutral — price isn't stretched, so let the opening action set the tone and trade in the direction it establishes.
The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+0.5%) — a mild tailwind. The sector has been outperforming (+5.8% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 27% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, UNH's industry is leading over 21 days (+5.8%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is neutral — lean on the other signals above to guide your entry; let the open break the tie. The safety cushion is moderate at 2.5% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted modestly downward (-4.6%) — mild medium-term headwind. The model's price-range projections (92% / 43%) show high confidence that the setup's structure is sound.
Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.2% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. The setup is broadly clean — sector tailwind. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.
MA

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 60% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected.

$616 $604 $581 $558 $551 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $599 gap ↓ $564 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in MA article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bullish · All timeframes agree · Low conviction.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.
MA is 10.0% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 56) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.
The broader market is modestly positive month-to-date (+0.5%) — a mild tailwind. The sector is roughly flat month-to-date (-0.3%) — neutral backdrop. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 8% — long-term strength behind this group.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is neutral — lean on the other signals above to guide your entry; let the open break the tie. The safety cushion is moderate at 3.4% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+13.3%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are small (≈1.5% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range. Key risks to monitor: majority of timeframes bearish — fighting the trend. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.