Sheet · 2026-09-03 · Swing · Core

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AVGO

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 53% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$417 $400 $368 $335 $324 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $378 gap ↓ $356 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in AVGO article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · All timeframes agree · Low conviction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.
A trend is starting to form — directional conditions are developing. Wait for a clean open above or below the prior day's key level as your entry trigger. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bearish, 60-min bearish, 4-hour bearish.
AVGO is trading near its long-term average (-0.4%) — a decision zone. Holding above is positive for longs; dropping below shifts the bigger-picture outlook for most investors. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 42) is in recovery territory — room to run in the prevailing direction; use a decisive open to confirm your entry.
The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.8%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been lagging (-1.7% over 21 days) — a mild headwind for long entries in this group. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 42% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, AVGO's industry is lagging over 21 days (-4.4%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is neutral — lean on the other signals above to guide your entry; let the open break the tie. The safety cushion is moderate at 4.7% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted modestly downward (-2.7%) — mild medium-term headwind.
Daily price swings are moderate (≈3.3% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise.
CVX

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 56% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$227 $222 $212 $202 $199 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $218 gap ↓ $206 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in CVX article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · Mixed timeframes · Wait for open · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.
The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time-horizon signals are split — 2 bullish vs 2 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.
CVX is 19.2% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 72) is getting hot — strong momentum but approaching levels where the rally may pause. Tight stops are important for longs here.
The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.8%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector is a clear tailwind — up 11.2% over the last month and +4.2% over the last week. Big-money players are rotating into this group, which amplifies the odds for individual stocks in the sector to break higher. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 48% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, CVX's industry is leading over 21 days (+11.2%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is neutral — lean on the other signals above to guide your entry; let the open break the tie. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 6.6% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+28.9%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are small (≈1.8% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.
MRK

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 54% of scenarios · Prime-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$166 $161 $152 $142 $139 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $156 gap ↓ $147 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in MRK article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · Broad alignment · Wait for open · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.
The trend is extremely strong — this is a high-velocity directional move. Respect the momentum; betting against this trend has poor odds. Time horizons are divided — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, only 3 of 4 lean bullish. Some are pulling in opposite directions. Let the open settle before committing; wait 10–15 minutes for the dominant side to reveal itself. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bullish.
MRK is trading 29.8% above its long-term average price (200-day) — well above its normal range. Long entries here carry elevated snap-back risk if the broad market softens. Shorts note the stretch is wide. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 66) is getting hot — strong momentum but approaching levels where the rally may pause. Tight stops are important for longs here.
The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.8%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been outperforming (+6.7% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 28% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, MRK's industry is leading over 21 days (+2.4%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is moderate at 3.8% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+18.1%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.3% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.
AAPL

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 57% of scenarios · Scout-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$353 $343 $325 $307 $300 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $335 gap ↓ $315 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in AAPL article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · Broad alignment · Wait for open · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.
Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon signals are split — 1 bullish vs 3 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.
AAPL is 14.9% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 61) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.
The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.8%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been lagging (-1.7% over 21 days) — a mild headwind for long entries in this group. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 42% — long-term strength behind this group.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 7.8% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+12.5%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.1% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.
WFC

Bloom Profile: Long-leaning · 56% of scenarios · Prime-tier Entries Expected · Diverges from bearish signal.

$96 $94 $89 $85 $84 LONG SHORT Close gap ↑ $92 gap ↓ $87 TP noon ↑ noon ↓ TP
Comprehensive scenario projections in WFC article ↗

Pre-market: Leans bearish · Mixed timeframes · Wait for open · Let first 30 min set direction.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. Very few signals align here. Wait for the open to reveal a directional edge before acting.
Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon signals are split — 2 bullish vs 2 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 4-hour bearish.
WFC is 6.2% above its long-term average — well-positioned. Price has a healthy cushion above the key long-term anchor without being stretched. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 62) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.
The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.8%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector is roughly flat month-to-date (-0.4%) — neutral backdrop. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 9% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, WFC's industry is lagging over 21 days (-4.1%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.
Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.
The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 6.5% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+8.7%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.
Daily price swings are small (≈1.8% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.