Sheet · 2026-09-30 · Swing · Core

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. The alignment is loose, so confirm with the morning trend before committing size. PRO tip: the first 15 minutes should trade in the direction of the setup for strong confirmation.

Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bullish, 60-min bullish, 4-hour bearish. Live entry quality reads fair — some conditions are still building.

EOG is 7.1% above its long-term average — well-positioned. Price has a healthy cushion above the key long-term anchor without being stretched. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 42) is in recovery territory — room to run in the prevailing direction; use a decisive open to confirm your entry.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been lagging (-1.2% over 21 days) — a mild headwind for long entries in this group. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 38% — long-term strength behind this group.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is thin — only 1.0% before a trend-reversal level. A tight, disciplined stop is essential here. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+8.5%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.3% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops; safety cushion nearly exhausted — stops will be very tight. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. The alignment is loose, so confirm with the morning trend before committing size. PRO tip: the first 15 minutes should trade in the direction of the setup for strong confirmation.

Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bearish, 60-min bearish, 4-hour bearish. Live entry quality reads fair — some conditions are still building.

NVDA is 13.9% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 57) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been outperforming (+4.9% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 40% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, NVDA's industry is leading over 21 days (+9.8%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is moderate at 2.7% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+13.8%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.4% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. The alignment is loose, so confirm with the morning trend before committing size. PRO tip: the first 15 minutes should trade in the direction of the setup for strong confirmation.

The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time horizons are divided — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, only 3 of 4 lean bullish. Some are pulling in opposite directions. Let the open settle before committing; wait 10–15 minutes for the dominant side to reveal itself. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bullish, 60-min bullish, 4-hour bullish. Live entry quality reads fair — some conditions are still building.

MRK is trading 23.6% above its long-term average price (200-day) — well above its normal range. Long entries here carry elevated snap-back risk if the broad market softens. Shorts note the stretch is wide. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 59) shows positive momentum — buyers in control with headroom before things get overheated.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector is roughly flat month-to-date (+0.1%) — neutral backdrop. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 28% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, MRK's industry is lagging over 21 days (-6.5%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is moderate at 4.7% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+16.9%) — the medium-term current is running with longs. The model's price-range projections (60% / 17%) are relatively low — reduce position size and tighten your stop; when confidence is modest, smaller bets and quicker exits protect capital.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.1% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. The alignment is loose, so confirm with the morning trend before committing size. PRO tip: the first 15 minutes should trade in the direction of the setup for strong confirmation.

The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time-horizon signals are split — 2 bullish vs 2 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bullish, 60-min bullish, 4-hour bullish. Live entry quality reads fair — some conditions are still building.

GS is 3.7% below its long-term average — below the key anchor. Buying here goes against the bigger trend. Short setups have the backdrop working in their favour. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 33) signals oversold conditions — the stock is stretched to the downside and a stabilisation or bounce is the higher-probability next move.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector is a real headwind — down 6.7% over the past month and -1.4% this week. Trading long against sector weakness is swimming upstream; factor in extra friction. Within its sector, GS's industry is lagging over 21 days (-6.7%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 13.7% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly downward (-8.9%) — a real headwind for longs that the model factors into its confidence. The model's price-range projections (58% / 12%) are relatively low — reduce position size and tighten your stop; when confidence is modest, smaller bets and quicker exits protect capital.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.7% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: weak sector backdrop against a long setup. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. The alignment is loose, so confirm with the morning trend before committing size. PRO tip: the first 15 minutes should trade in the direction of the setup for strong confirmation.

Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon signals are split — 2 bullish vs 2 bearish across the 5-minute through weekly charts. The morning trend will decide which side takes control — follow it. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bearish, 60-min bearish, 4-hour bullish. Live entry quality reads fair — some conditions are still building.

MA is 6.1% above its long-term average — well-positioned. Price has a healthy cushion above the key long-term anchor without being stretched. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 45) is neutral — price isn't stretched, so let the opening action set the tone and trade in the direction it establishes.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-0.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector is a real headwind — down 6.7% over the past month and -1.4% this week. Trading long against sector weakness is swimming upstream; factor in extra friction. Within its sector, MA's industry is lagging over 21 days (-6.7%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 6.7% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+9.9%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.

Daily price swings are small (≈1.4% per day) — tight stops are feasible, but expected profit per share is also compressed; position sizing needs to account for the narrower range. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops; weak sector backdrop against a long setup. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.