Sheet · 2026-09-17 · Swing · Core

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. The alignment is loose, so confirm with the morning trend before committing size. PRO tip: the first 15 minutes should trade in the direction of the setup for strong confirmation.

A trend is starting to form — directional conditions are developing. Wait for a clean open above or below the prior day's key level as your entry trigger. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bearish, 60-min bearish, 4-hour bearish. Live entry quality reads fair — some conditions are still building.

BAC is 5.9% above its long-term average — well-positioned. Price has a healthy cushion above the key long-term anchor without being stretched. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 29) signals oversold conditions — the stock is stretched to the downside and a stabilisation or bounce is the higher-probability next move.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-2.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been lagging (-2.8% over 21 days) — a mild headwind for long entries in this group. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 6% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, BAC's industry is lagging over 21 days (-6.0%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 12.1% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted modestly upward (+2.2%) — mild medium-term tailwind.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.0% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. The alignment is loose, so confirm with the morning trend before committing size. PRO tip: the first 15 minutes should trade in the direction of the setup for strong confirmation.

Price is currently stuck in a range — reduce position size and use tighter stops; range-bound markets are prone to sharp, misleading reversals, so let the open confirm direction first. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bearish, 60-min bearish, 4-hour bearish. Live entry quality reads fair — some conditions are still building.

AMZN is trading near its long-term average (+2.5%) — a decision zone. Holding above is positive for longs; dropping below shifts the bigger-picture outlook for most investors. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 39) is in recovery territory — room to run in the prevailing direction; use a decisive open to confirm your entry.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-2.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector is a real headwind — down 5.6% over the past month and -2.1% this week. Trading long against sector weakness is swimming upstream; factor in extra friction. On a 1-year basis the sector is down 8% — long-term weakness that big-money investors are aware of.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence is neutral — lean on the other signals above to guide your entry; let the open break the tie. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 16.7% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted modestly upward (+3.3%) — mild medium-term tailwind.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.4% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. Key risks to monitor: choppy price action — reduce size and widen stops; weak sector backdrop against a long setup; majority of timeframes bearish — fighting the trend. These don't disqualify the setup but should reduce your position size and require stronger confirmation at the open.

Pre-market state is in a bearish state, favouring a short-biased (selling) setup. The alignment is loose, so confirm with the morning trend before committing size. PRO tip: the first 15 minutes should trade in the direction of the setup for strong confirmation.

A trend is starting to form — directional conditions are developing. Wait for a clean open above or below the prior day's key level as your entry trigger. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bearish, 60-min bearish, 4-hour bearish. Live entry quality reads fair — some conditions are still building.

XOM is 12.8% above its long-term average — extended but not extreme. The long-term trend is clearly up, providing a tailwind for longs, though buyers entering now have less margin for error. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 54) is neutral — price isn't stretched, so let the opening action set the tone and trade in the direction it establishes.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-2.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector has been outperforming (+2.3% over 21 days) — a meaningful sector-wide tailwind. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 50% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, XOM's industry is leading over 21 days (+2.3%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence is positive — leaning bullish, though not at peak conviction. The safety cushion is moderate at 2.8% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+20.5%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.2% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. Several signals pull in opposing directions, so let the morning trend decide. PRO tip: wait for the first 15–30 minutes to establish a clear range, then enter only if the breakout favours the setup direction.

The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time horizons are divided — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, only 3 of 4 lean bullish. Some are pulling in opposite directions. Let the open settle before committing; wait 10–15 minutes for the dominant side to reveal itself. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bullish, 60-min bullish, 4-hour bullish.

MRK is trading 22.3% above its long-term average price (200-day) — well above its normal range. Long entries here carry elevated snap-back risk if the broad market softens. Shorts note the stretch is wide. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 54) is neutral — price isn't stretched, so let the opening action set the tone and trade in the direction it establishes.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-2.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector is roughly flat month-to-date (+0.4%) — neutral backdrop. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 25% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, MRK's industry is lagging over 21 days (-4.7%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence reads negative — conditions lean bearish. The safety cushion is moderate at 4.6% — some room before a trend-reversal level, but keep a close eye on your stop. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly upward (+13.5%) — the medium-term current is running with longs.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈2.1% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.

Pre-market state is in a bullish state, favouring a long-biased (buying) setup. The alignment is loose, so confirm with the morning trend before committing size. PRO tip: the first 15 minutes should trade in the direction of the setup for strong confirmation.

The trend is active and established — price is moving with purpose and the odds favour continuation. Time-horizon alignment is predominantly bearish — across the 5-minute through weekly charts, 4 of 4 lean bearish. The dominant momentum across most views is to the downside. Shorter intraday reads: 15-min bearish, 60-min bearish, 4-hour bearish. Live entry quality reads fair — some conditions are still building.

AVGO is 8.0% below its long-term average — below the key anchor. Buying here goes against the bigger trend. Short setups have the backdrop working in their favour. On the shorter-term view, price is sitting right on its 10-day average — close to a short-term support/resistance line and right at its 20-day average — a common decision point for swing traders. The momentum gauge (RSI 32) signals oversold conditions — the stock is stretched to the downside and a stabilisation or bounce is the higher-probability next move.

The broader market is slightly negative month-to-date (-2.4%) — a mild headwind for longs. The sector is a real headwind — down 3.3% over the past month and -2.1% this week. Trading long against sector weakness is swimming upstream; factor in extra friction. On a 1-year basis the sector is up 35% — long-term strength behind this group. Within its sector, AVGO's industry is lagging over 21 days (-8.1%) — industry-level momentum is often a more precise predictor than the broader sector read.

Volume was roughly average (1.0×) — look for a volume increase at the open to confirm the move before sizing in fully.

The model's internal confidence is neutral — lean on the other signals above to guide your entry; let the open break the tie. The safety cushion is healthy — price is 10.9% away from its nearest trend-reversal level. Your stop-loss has room to breathe. Over the past quarter the stock has drifted strongly downward (-10.1%) — a real headwind for longs that the model factors into its confidence.

Daily price swings are moderate (≈3.2% per day) — normal swing-trading conditions where a well-placed stop has enough room to avoid being triggered by everyday noise. The setup is broadly clean — strong trend. When key conditions converge this clearly, the trade plan's levels deserve full-size respect.